450k Dropshippers on Shopify are its biggest threat: SeekingAlpha uncovers the weakness. Full stack marketer Servando Silva: From SEO to Pops to FB Ads to Push and back to SEO. FB now tells you when to post for maximum engagement.

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GOOGLE

Making $40B in 3 months… Not bad…

Someone made $40B this Q3 and it’s none other than Google’s parent company – Alphabet. Imagine Google sharing their ROAS screenshots in all those FB groups.

  • Overall Revenue: $40.5B (20% Y-Y growth).
  • Advertising Revenue: $33.9B (17% Y-Y growth).
  • Ad Revenue from Google Properties: $28.6B (19% Y-Y growth).
  • Major Growth Drivers: Mobile Search, YouTube & Cloud.
  • Google Network Ad Revenue: $5.3B (9% Y-Y growth).
  • Major Growth Drivers: Google Ad Manager & AdMob.

Click volumes have increased by 18% Y-Y but that’s just 1% increase from Q2’2019. Click growth has been slow in all quarters of this year. However, as per the company, the major reason for that is stricter rules on the videos that can carry ads, put forth in January 2018.

CPCs are down by 2% compared to Q2 but up by 3% compared to Q1. Network impressions have increased by 12% compared to last year.

A fun fact: More than half of advertisers’ search spend is now optimized via full auto bidding and 70% of advertisers are now using smart bidding. Not just that, more than 1M advertisers are using responsive search ads.

BERT is not being used for ads, yet.

All is going well for Google but the regulatory clouds from both sides of the Atlantic are looming over it, including antitrust and data privacy investigations.


FACEBOOK

Why your CPA is gettin’ worse and worse

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The “My campaigns are sinking” has been a popular topic lately. Or at least that’s what we’ve observed as a trend in many FB groups. And it all escalated right after “I got banned for no reason”.

Trying to address the first problem (performance drops), Andrew Foxwell shared his take and how you can address it.

he cause: Since the hot season is just ahead, a lot of ad space has been reserved in the Reach/Frequency buys from big brands, locking in CPMs for October. Basically, there’s less ad space available for the small fish.

Okay, prices go up during Q4, it’s nothing new. But Andrew’s point here is about Facebook reserving ad space for big brands.

Andrew’s suggestions:

  • Play it safe! And allocate most of your budget on top of the funnel campaigns. In this way, you bring new people in, and you will have more pools to retarget for Black Friday and Cyber Monday.
  • Prepare events and creatives for holiday launches and pre-launches.
  • Consolidate the spend: Reduce the number of ad sets you’re running and increase the budget for each ad set. This will help you get more conversions per ad set aka better algorithm optimization.

That is all. Nothing that stands out. Just a reminder and a sprinkle of common sense.

Have a killer Q4!


SPONSORED

▶️ From SEO to CPA to digital products and back to SEO with Servando Silva

There aren’t many people that have done as much as Servando in so little time. Sure, some might brag about their achievements, but when it comes to actually creating profitable campaigns and businesses, Servando is the real deal.

Which is why this is a must-watch or must-listen-to discussion.

Quick pause: Want to get access to all these future episodes before anyone else? Share WHAT THE AFF with 5 friends or more to get access to WHAT THE AFF Insiders FB Group, where we post these episodes first!

We talk to Servando about:

  • How he went full-circle in the online marketing space, starting with SEO.
  • What he thinks of push traffic in 2019 and going into 2020.
  • What are the most important elements for optimizing push and what is the usual lifespan of a push traffic campaign.
  • How he adapted to every single change in the past 5 years and went from SEO to pop traffic to Facebook, to push and now back to SEO.
  • What made him thrive for so long when people come and go within 1-2 years.
  • What was his biggest failure, his biggest loss that he can remember when it comes to business.

There’s also a short guest appearance by one of Servando’s cute cats… We heard the Internet likes cats so we just had to mention it!

Check out the full episode on YouTube here.

Is iTunes more your thing? It’s here!

Do you prefer Spotify? Got you!


E-COMMERCE

Shopify’s dirty little secret – little like an elephant

Shopify is hot! And we are not talking about making tons of Benjis with ecomm. We are talking about stonks… Sorry, stock!

It’s quoted at 20x the EV/Sales (Enterprise value-to-sales). To give you a clearer picture, Alibaba is at 6.2x, Amazon is at 3.2x.

However, not all that glitters is gold. In fact, there is something that scares investors.

And that something is… *drum roll*… dropshippers!

While on one side Shopify is building long term projects such as the $450M robotic warehouse, a big share of its customer base is unlikely to last in the long-term, especially during an economic downturn.

That’s why dropshippers are a potential problem for Shopify.

Let’s check Seeking Alpha’s article that went deeper into this:

“These are merchants (dropshippers) who simply resell products from other merchants. Usually, these merchants sell their products at an extreme mark-up. And almost without exception, these merchants are primarily selling low-quality, low-utility goods.”

Nothing new for us, right? From an investors perspective, it can be an issue though…

A somewhat old article by Citron Research stated that out of the 500k stores running on Shopify, only 50k were valuable businesses. Still worse, venture capitalists argued that only 40k of these could be considered as an addressable market.

In other words, investors are worried that you can’t build a business on all these wannabe entrepreneurs hoping for the breakthrough.

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And according to Seeking Alpha, there’s something worse. The problem is that Shopify is fuelling the fire by supporting YouTube channels that preach the dropshipping religion without showing a sustainable model.

Yeah, we’re talking about goo-roos!

Sooo, what’s the point?

We’re not saying dropshipping is all bad. It does have its weaknesses which is what scares investors. It is possible to make it work, both for the store owner and for Shopify… But if the success rate goes to half, what happens to Shopify’s revenues?

All newbies represent a big share of Shopify’s customer base. And it’s not good for investors because it does not represent a sustainable cash flow. Unless, they can increase their likelihood of success…

In other words, there will always be a churn but there’s a real risk no new people come in at some point, which will heavily hurt Shopify’s business.


ROUNDING UP THE STACK

  • TWITTER: We are not sure how many of you are even running Twitter Ads, but apparently, Twitter has increased the ad frequency on its platform. Users with large followers won’t or might not see ads at all.
  • DOMAINS: Google has now made “.new” TLD available for everyone. You can register domains in this TLD. Yes, if you didn’t get it, the new TLD is exactly “.new”.
  • ADVERTISING: More and more users started to hate seeing online ads. In fact, some are happy to pay to avoid seeing them and it’s all advertisers’ fault.
  • FACEBOOK: A new feature called “Suggested Time” is being tested which will provide marketers with a recommendation of when they should post to maximize engagement.
  • VOICE: This recent study tested all digital personal assistants: Results show that Cortana offers most answers while Google Assistant proves to be most accurate.
  • SEO: Google is testing new designs and layouts for Expandable Featured Snippets with less content in the expandable element.
  • AMAZON: This holiday season, around 42% of all your potential customers will purchase stuff on Amazon. However, 47% will buy few or none of their things via Amazon.

BRAIN TEASER

You live in a one storey house made entirely of redwood. What colour would the stairs be?

You’ll find the answer at the end of this email.


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POOLSIDE CHAT

Cool tech, (funny) business, lifestyle and all the other things affiliates like to chat about while sipping cocktails by the pool.

(Should be)… Hiring Ad Buyers & SEOs: Contact Elon Musk

Yo, ad buyers and SEOs! You might be good at your game but this guy is literally sick and tired of you guys.

What’s his complaint? Well, Elon is unable to drive site visitors to his solar roofing company because there are too many websites ranking above him in SERPs. And those which are not ranking high are using paid ad campaigns.

His products are nowhere visible to his target audience 🙁

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It is just too hard for his customers to Google and find his products.

Suddenly, a bunch of SEOs on Twitter started responding to Musk’s tweet – some offering SEO advice, some subtly hoping to bag his SEO work, while others simply resorted to standard FB Groups strategy “Hey Musk, DM me. I can help you with that”. Lololol!

Elon, aka “Treelon”, Musk got a lot of free SEO advice

Treelon, if you are reading this, hit up The Crew! There are over 8k marketers reading this newsletter… You can probably find your dream SEO person here.


BRAIN TEASER ANSWER

What stairs? You live in a one storey house.


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